After spending a month looking into blockchain technology, tonight we will turn back to the dynamics of the current events landscape. In many ways it seems like we are stuck in the same place with respect to the dominant narratives, trends, and themes. In other ways we’re seeing some material developments on key issues. How do we know which version of current events is accurate? Is President Trump on a fast track to impeachment or an overhaul that leads to prosperity? Stepping back, how should we structure our analysis through the lens of uncertainty. This poorly understood area of decision making and critical thinking rarely gets attention because of its seemingly arcane underpinnings in probabilistic mathematics. However, it is both useful and necessary to understand core principles about uncertainty so that we can proceed through the morass of information in a more informed manner.